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Carabao Cup The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West MidlandsRef: Robert Jones
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Coventry 1-3 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Coventry
Coventry
Lost · xG 0.90
1 – 3
FT 13:05
Aston Villa
Won · xG 2.20
Aston Villa
Match review
Next: Everton v Coventry · Fri 6 Nov · Barcelona v Aston Villa · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Coventry vs Aston Villa?

Coventry 1-3 Aston Villa, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Coventry to win, which did not land.

How it played out

Aston Villa won it 3–1

CoventryAston Villa

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 13:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa

Aston Villa were beaten 3-1 by Coventry in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday night, with Tammy Abraham scoring twice and Ross Barkley adding a header in a result that will sting. Villa had no answers and no excuses.

Carabao CupWed 16 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Aston Villa won 3-1 away at Coventry.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Coventry 0.90 to Aston Villa 2.20 on expected goals.

First Goal
T
7'⚽
Tammy Abraham2 goals in match
GAssist: George Hemmings
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry 0.90 xGAston Villa 2.20 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Coventry to win

43%Missed

Result

Coventry1:3Aston Villa

Coventry v Aston Villa

Our model leaned Coventry to win at 43%. Coventry 1-3 Aston Villa. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Aston Villa won 3-1 at Coventry in the Carabao Cup, with goals from Tammy Abraham, Ross Barkley and a third securing the visitors' control. Coventry pulled one back through Victor Torp but could not find an equaliser. Our model backed Coventry at 43 percent probability; the pick missed. Villa's fourth win in five matches proved decisive on the night. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Coventry v Aston Villa · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ross BarkleyAston Villa★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.7
  2. Tammy AbrahamAston Villa2 goals · 69 min8.3
  3. Victor TorpCoventry1 goal · 90 min7.8
  4. Ibrahim MbayeAston Villa1 assist · 64 min7.5
  5. George HemmingsAston Villa1 assist · 79 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CoventryAston VillaCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Coventry win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Coventry
43.3%
Draw
23.7%
Aston Villa
33.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Coventry win was the highest probability; the match result was Aston Villa win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 11league matches away from home unbeaten for Aston Villa.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Coventry scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Aston Villa scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Coventry have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Aston Villa have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ephron Mason-Clark has the highest listed average xGOT for Coventry at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Emiliano Buendía has the highest listed average xGOT for Aston Villa at 0.63 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Coventry vs Aston Villa?
    Aston Villa beat Coventry 3-1 in the Carabao Cup at The Coventry Building Society Arena.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tammy Abraham opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tammy Abraham (7'), Victor Torp (27'), Ross Barkley (40'), Tammy Abraham (59').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Robert Jones officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Coventry vs Aston Villa kicked off on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 UK time at The Coventry Building Society Arena.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Coventry to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Coventry play Everton on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time. Aston Villa play Barcelona on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.