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Major League SoccerRef: Brandon Stevis
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Chicago Fire 2-1 New York City result, stats and report

Chicago Fire
Won · xG 1.30
2 – 1
FT 07:35
Lost · xG 1.59
New York City
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Chicago Fire v Orlando City · Thu 29 Oct · New York City v Atlanta United · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Chicago FireNew York CityMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CHI
48.9%
Draw
24.3%
NYC
26.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.9%
Over 2.5 goals
59.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Chicago Fire win was the highest probability; the match result was Chicago Fire win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
24%
27%
48.9%CHI
24.3%Draw
26.8%NYC

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.9%No 40.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 59.0%No 41.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CHI or draw at 62.0%; the most likely half-time state is CHI leading at half-time at 45.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
62.0%
12
4.8%
X2
33.2%

Half-Time Result

CHI
45.1%
Draw
37.2%
NYC
17.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CHI
Draw
NYC
CHI
34.6%
6.4%
2.3%
Draw
16.0%
13.1%
8.1%
NYC
3.2%
4.8%
11.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.