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Major League SoccerRef: Rubiel Vazquez
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Chicago Fire 1-2 New England result, stats and report

Chicago Fire
Lost · xG 2.19
1 – 2
FT 16:05
Won · xG 1.05
New England
Next: Chicago Fire v Orlando City · Thu 29 Oct · New England v New York RB · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Chicago FireNew EnglandMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Chicago Fire win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CHI
53.2%
Draw
22.5%
NER
24.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.9%
Over 2.5 goals
61.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Chicago Fire win was the highest probability; the match result was New England win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
23%
24%
53.2%CHI
22.5%Draw
24.3%NER

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.9%No 38.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 61.5%No 38.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CHI or draw at 61.0%; the most likely half-time state is CHI leading at half-time at 44.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.6%.

Double Chance

1X
61.0%
12
4.3%
X2
34.7%

Half-Time Result

CHI
44.3%
Draw
36.2%
NER
19.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CHI
Draw
NER
CHI
34.8%
5.7%
2.5%
Draw
16.8%
11.8%
7.6%
NER
3.9%
4.8%
12.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.6%
No
87.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.