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Premier League ยท MW2 Stamford Bridge, LondonRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

Chelsea 4-3 Brighton result, stats and report

Chelsea
Won ยท xG 3.05
4 โ€“ 3
FT
Lost ยท xG 1.09
Brighton
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Brentford v Chelsea ยท Fri 18 Sept ยท Brighton v Arsenal ยท Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ChelseaBrightonPremier League

The provider forecast gives Chelsea win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.5%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Chelsea
43.5%
Draw
23.3%
Brighton
33.3%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
59.0%
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
23%
33%
43.5%Chelsea
23.3%Draw
33.3%Brighton

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.0%No 41.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.0%No 42.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Chelsea or draw at 55.8%; the most likely half-time state is Chelsea leading at half-time at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.2%.

Double Chance

1X
55.8%
12
5.1%
X2
39.1%

Half-Time Result

Chelsea
38.3%
Draw
37.6%
Brighton
24.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Chelsea
Draw
Brighton
Chelsea
30.0%
5.2%
2.4%
Draw
16.0%
13.5%
9.6%
Brighton
3.2%
4.3%
16.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.