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Major League SoccerRef: Ismail Elfath
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

CF Montréal 3-1 Cincinnati result, stats and report

CF Montréal
Won · xG 2.21
3 – 1
FT 13:15
Lost · xG 2.51
Cincinnati
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: CF Montréal v Vancouver Whitecaps · Sat 7 Nov · Cincinnati v Nashville SC · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CF MontréalCincinnatiMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives CF Montréal win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CFM
41.1%
Draw
23.6%
CIN
35.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.6%
Over 2.5 goals
61.5%

Full-time forecast audit: CF Montréal win was the highest probability; the match result was CF Montréal win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
24%
35%
41.1%CFM
23.6%Draw
35.3%CIN

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.6%No 38.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 61.5%No 38.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CFM or draw at 55.5%; the most likely half-time state is CFM leading at half-time at 38.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.1%.

Double Chance

1X
55.5%
12
4.6%
X2
39.9%

Half-Time Result

CFM
38.9%
Draw
36.8%
CIN
24.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CFM
Draw
CIN
CFM
30.0%
5.0%
3.5%
Draw
14.7%
12.1%
9.8%
CIN
3.6%
5.7%
15.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.1%
No
90.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.