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La Liga 2 · MW10Ref: José Luis Guzmán Mansilla
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Ceuta 1-2 Oviedo result, stats and report

Ceuta
Lost · xG 3.14
1 – 2
FT 23:45
Won · xG 2.16
Oviedo
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Tenerife v Ceuta · Sun 15 Nov · Oviedo v Girona · Sat 14 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CeutaOviedoLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CEU
44.6%
Draw
24.6%
Oviedo
30.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.9%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Ceuta win was the highest probability; the match result was Oviedo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
25%
31%
44.6%CEU
24.6%Draw
30.8%Oviedo

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.9%No 42.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.4%No 44.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CEU or draw at 59.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.7%.

Double Chance

1X
59.5%
12
6.0%
X2
34.5%

Half-Time Result

CEU
34.2%
Draw
45.3%
Oviedo
20.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CEU
Draw
Oviedo
CEU
28.7%
5.2%
2.1%
Draw
17.6%
16.2%
9.8%
Oviedo
3.4%
5.6%
11.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.