This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Ceuta 1-2 Oviedo result, stats and report
Who won Ceuta vs Oviedo?
Ceuta 1-2 Oviedo, full time in La Liga 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Ceuta 1–2 Oviedo
Ceuta have shipped 15 goals in their last five La Liga 2 matches without winning once. Oviedo arrive having kept four clean sheets in five. Something has to give, and the evidence says it probably will not be Oviedo's backline.
Oviedo won 2-1 away at Ceuta.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Oviedo won against the run of the chances: Ceuta 3.14 to Oviedo 2.16 on expected goals, which favoured Ceuta.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Ceuta to win
Result
1:2
CEU v Oviedo
📊 Match recap and data context
Oviedo won 2-1 at Ceuta in La Liga 2, with Samu Rodríguez scoring in the 23rd minute and Carlos Domínguez adding a second in the 61st. Ceuta pulled one back through Alejandro Camacho in the 83rd. Our model backed a Ceuta win at 45 percent probability; the pick missed. Both teams arrived in form, with Oviedo winning three of five and Ceuta managing one win in five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Ceuta v Oviedo · La Liga 2 ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- CEU
- 44.6%
- Draw
- 24.6%
- Oviedo
- 30.8%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 57.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55.4%
Full-time forecast audit: Ceuta win was the highest probability; the match result was Oviedo win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Oviedo, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Ceuta, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 51 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Oviedo, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Ceuta, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 6 comparable matches from 51 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- Ceuta scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Oviedo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Ceuta have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Oviedo have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Jordi Escobar has the highest listed average xGOT for Ceuta at 0.70 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Carlos Domínguez has the highest listed average xGOT for Oviedo at 0.60 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
Who scored the opening goal?
Samu Rodríguez opened the scoring in the 23rd minute.Who scored in the match?
Samu Rodríguez (23'), Carlos Domínguez (61'), Alejandro Camacho (83').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 8 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
José Luis Guzmán Mansilla officiated.When and where was the match played?
CEU vs Oviedo kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
15 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.When do they play next?
CEU play Córdoba on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. Oviedo play Cádiz on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.