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EFL Championship · MW6Ref: Samuel Allison
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City result, stats and report

Cardiff City
Drew · xG 2.48
1 – 1
FT 17:25
Drew · xG 0.92
Stoke City
Next: Cardiff City v Watford · Tue 13 Oct · Stoke City v Middlesbrough · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Cardiff CityStoke CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CDF
56.4%
Draw
23.2%
Stoke City
20.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
23%
20%
56.4%CDF
23.2%Draw
20.3%Stoke City

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.4%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CDF or draw at 61.8%; the most likely half-time state is CDF leading at half-time at 42.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.4%.

Double Chance

1X
61.8%
12
5.8%
X2
32.4%

Half-Time Result

CDF
42.4%
Draw
37.1%
Stoke City
20.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CDF
Draw
Stoke City
CDF
35.8%
4.8%
2.0%
Draw
17.9%
13.7%
6.4%
Stoke City
3.5%
5.2%
10.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.4%
No
87.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.