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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Cardiff City dominated every statistical category but could not convert their superiority into three points, as Joel Colwill's second-half header cancelled out Ben Johnson's opener in a 1-1 Championship draw at Cardiff City Stadium.
Cardiff City dominated every statistical category but could not convert their superiority into three points, as Joel Colwill's second-half header cancelled out Ben Johnson's opener in a 1-1 Championship draw at Cardiff City Stadium.
EFL ChampionshipTue 8 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Cardiff City and Stoke City drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
B
22'⚽
Ben Johnson
RAssist: Róbert Boženík
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff City 2.48 xGStoke City 0.92 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Cardiff City to win
56%Missed
Result
1:1
CDF v Stoke City
Our model leaned Cardiff City to win at 56%. Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Cardiff City drew 1-1 with Stoke City in the Championship, missing our model's pick of a Cardiff win at 56 percent probability. The hosts dominated much of the match but could not find a second goal, allowing Stoke to escape with a point despite their poor recent form. Both teams scored, continuing a pattern; Cardiff had seen both teams score in four of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
CDF
56.4%
Draw
23.2%
Stoke City
20.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.