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EFL Championship · MW6Ref: Samuel Allison
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City result, stats and report

Cardiff City
Drew · xG 2.48
1 – 1
FT 17:25
Drew · xG 0.92
Stoke City
Next: Cardiff City v Watford · Tue 13 Oct · Stoke City v Middlesbrough · Tue 13 Oct
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Who won Cardiff City vs Stoke City?

Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Cardiff City to win, which did not land.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 17:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City

Cardiff City dominated every statistical category but could not convert their superiority into three points, as Joel Colwill's second-half header cancelled out Ben Johnson's opener in a 1-1 Championship draw at Cardiff City Stadium.

Key Takeaways
Result

Cardiff City and Stoke City drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
B
22'⚽
Ben Johnson
RAssist: Róbert Boženík
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Cardiff City 2.48 xGStoke City 0.92 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Cardiff City to win

56%Missed

Result

Cardiff City1:1Stoke City

CDF v Stoke City

Our model leaned Cardiff City to win at 56%. Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Cardiff City drew 1-1 with Stoke City in the Championship, missing our model's pick of a Cardiff win at 56 percent probability. The hosts dominated much of the match but could not find a second goal, allowing Stoke to escape with a point despite their poor recent form. Both teams scored, continuing a pattern; Cardiff had seen both teams score in four of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Cardiff City v Stoke City · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Alex RobertsonCDF★ MOTM90 min8.5
  2. Chris WillockCDF1 assist · 82 min8.0
  3. Viktor Johansson90 min7.6
  4. Joel ColwillCDF1 goal · 90 min7.5
  5. Krystian Bielik90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CDF
56.4%
Draw
23.2%
Stoke City
20.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Cardiff City and Stoke City, landing 2 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (58.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Cardiff City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cardiff City scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stoke City scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cardiff City have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stoke City have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Yousef Salech has the highest listed average xGOT for Cardiff City at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Justin Devenny has the highest listed average xGOT for Stoke City at 1.47 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Stoke City?
    CDF and Stoke City drew 1-1 in the EFL Championship.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ben Johnson opened the scoring in the 22nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ben Johnson (22'), Joel Colwill (63').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Samuel Allison officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CDF vs Stoke City kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Cardiff City to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    CDF play Cardiff City on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time. Stoke City play Middlesbrough on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.