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Serie B · MW4Ref: Giuseppe Collu
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Calcio Padova 1-0 Ascoli result, stats and report

1 – 0
FT 07:05
Lost
Ascoli
Next: Avellino v Calcio Padova · Sat 24 Oct · Catanzaro v Ascoli · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Calcio PadovaAscoliSerie B

The provider forecast gives Ascoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAD
31.6%
Draw
27.1%
ASC
41.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.8%
Over 2.5 goals
47.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Ascoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Calcio Padova win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
27%
41%
31.6%PAD
27.1%Draw
41.3%ASC

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.2%No 52.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ASC or draw at 52.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
39.2%
12
8.5%
X2
52.4%

Half-Time Result

PAD
23.5%
Draw
46.1%
ASC
30.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAD
Draw
ASC
PAD
15.7%
5.5%
2.8%
Draw
10.6%
19.0%
16.4%
ASC
2.5%
5.2%
22.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.