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Serie B · MW4Ref: Giuseppe Collu
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Calcio Padova 1-0 Ascoli result, stats and report

1 – 0
FT 07:05
Lost
Ascoli
Next: Calcio Padova v Virtus Entella · Sat 17 Oct · Ascoli v Empoli · Sat 17 Oct
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Who won Calcio Padova vs Ascoli?

Calcio Padova 1-0 Ascoli, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

PAD won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 07:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Calcio Padova 1–0 Ascoli

Calcio Padova ground out a narrow 1-0 victory over Ascoli in Serie B, with substitute Nicolas Galazzi's 63rd-minute right-foot finish proving the decisive moment in a match Ascoli dominated for long periods without the cutting edge to show for it.

Key Takeaways
Result

Calcio Padova beat Ascoli 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
N
63'⚽
Nicolas Galazzi
MAssist: Matteo Cocchi

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Ascoli to win

41%Missed

Result

Calcio Padova1:0Ascoli

PAD v ASC

Our model leaned Ascoli to win at 41%. Calcio Padova 1-0 Ascoli. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Calcio Padova host Ascoli in Serie B on 12 September at 13:00 UTC. Padova have won two of their last five matches but lost three; Ascoli are unbeaten in their last five with both teams scoring in all five of those games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Calcio Padova v Ascoli · Serie B ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Alessandro SorrentinoPAD★ MOTM90 min7.4
  2. Matteo Cocchi1 assist · 45 min7.3
  3. Gianluca CaprariPAD30 min7.1
  4. Alessandro CapelliPAD34 min6.8
  5. Giacomo De Pieri71 min6.8

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Ascoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAD
31.6%
Draw
27.1%
ASC
41.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.8%
Over 2.5 goals
47.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Ascoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Calcio Padova win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Calcio Padova and Ascoli, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Calcio Padova.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Ascoli.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Calcio Padova scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ascoli scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Calcio Padova have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ascoli have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mattia Bortolussi has the highest listed average xGOT for Calcio Padova at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gabriele Gori has the highest listed average xGOT for Ascoli at 0.88 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Calcio Padova vs Ascoli?
    PAD beat ASC 1-0 in the Serie B.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Nicolas Galazzi opened the scoring in the 63rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Nicolas Galazzi (63').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Giuseppe Collu officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    PAD vs ASC kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    PAD play Calcio Padova on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. ASC play Ascoli on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.