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League One · MW7Ref: Oliver Mackey
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burton Albion 2-2 Mansfield Town result, stats and report

Burton Albion
Drew · xG 0.63
2 – 2
FT 03:55
Drew · xG 1.86
Mansfield Town
Next: Wycombe Wanderers v Burton Albion · Sat 31 Oct · Mansfield Town v Notts County · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?

Burton Albion 2-2 Mansfield Town, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Burton Albion winning 1, Mansfield Town winning 0 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 03:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Burton Albion 2–2 Mansfield Town

Burton Albion dominated for large stretches but could not hold on, as Mansfield Town took a point from the Pirelli Stadium despite Burton creating more and threatening more throughout. Five yellow cards for the home side tells you everything about a performance that had plenty of effort but not enough discipline.

Key Takeaways
Result

Burton Albion and Mansfield Town drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
28'⚽
Jack Armer
CAssist: Caylan Vickers
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Burton Albion 0.63 xGMansfield Town 1.86 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Burton Albion to win

42%Missed

Result

Burton Albion2:2Mansfield Town

BRA v MSF

Our model leaned Burton Albion to win at 42%. Burton Albion 2-2 Mansfield Town. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Burton have drawn blanks in recent form, though both teams scored in their last outing. Mansfield arrive with a win from their last five but have kept clean sheets in four of those matches. Head-to-head, the sides have split honours across two meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Burton Albion v Mansfield Town · League One ·

More from this competition: League One predictions · League One odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lucas AkinsMSF★ MOTM1 goal · 28 min7.5
  2. C. Vickers1 assist · 63 min7.5
  3. Michael Smith1 goal · 62 min7.2
  4. J. ArmerBRA1 goal · 90 min7.2
  5. Regan HendryMSF90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Burton Albion win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BRA
41.5%
Draw
28.2%
MSF
30.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.6%
Over 2.5 goals
43.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Burton Albion win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9league matches at home unbeaten for Burton Albion.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mansfield Town scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mansfield Town have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Curtis Tilt has the highest listed average xGOT for Burton Albion at 0.97 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jon Russell has the highest listed average xGOT for Mansfield Town at 0.40 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
    BRA and MSF drew 2-2 in the League One.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Deji Oshilaja opened the scoring in the 16th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Deji Oshilaja (16', og), Jack Armer (28'), Michael Smith (40'), Lucas Akins (70').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Oliver Mackey officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    BRA vs MSF kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    BRA play Wycombe Wanderers on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. MSF play Mansfield Town on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.