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EFL Championship · MW11 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Lewis Smith
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burnley 1-2 Wolves result, stats and report

Burnley
Lost · xG 0.89
1 – 2
FT 06:15
Won · xG 1.86
Wolves
Next: QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov · Bristol City v Wolves · Wed 4 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurnleyWolvesEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
40.4%
Draw
28.0%
Wolves
31.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
43.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was Wolves win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
28%
32%
40.4%Burnley
28.0%Draw
31.6%Wolves

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 43.0%No 57.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Burnley or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.1%.

Double Chance

1X
48.5%
12
9.5%
X2
41.9%

Half-Time Result

Burnley
31.0%
Draw
42.3%
Wolves
26.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Burnley
Draw
Wolves
Burnley
22.7%
5.7%
2.6%
Draw
13.4%
16.2%
12.8%
Wolves
2.4%
5.9%
18.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.1%
No
95.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.