Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
EFL Championship · MW11 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Lewis Smith
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Burnley 1-2 Wolves result, stats and report

Burnley
Burnley
Lost · xG 0.89
1 – 2
FT 06:15
Wolves
Won · xG 1.86
Wolves
Match review
Next: QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov · Bristol City v Wolves · Wed 4 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Burnley vs Wolves?

Burnley 1-2 Wolves, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Burnley winning 1, Wolves winning 0 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Wolves won it 2–1

BurnleyWolves

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Burnley 1–2 Wolves

Wolves came from behind to beat Burnley 2-1 in the EFL Championship on Friday night, with substitute Tawanda Blessing Chirewa scoring within seconds of coming on to seal a deserved away victory.

EFL ChampionshipFri 16 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Wolves won 2-1 away at Burnley.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Burnley 0.89 to Wolves 1.86 on expected goals.

First Goal
J
20'⚽
Jamie Vardy
JAssist: Jacob Bruun Larsen
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley 0.89 xGWolves 1.86 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Burnley to win

40%Missed

Result

Burnley1:2Wolves

Burnley v Wolves

Our model leaned Burnley to win at 40%. Burnley 1-2 Wolves. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Wolves came from behind to beat Burnley 2-1 at Turf Moor in the Championship. Our model backed a Burnley win at 40 percent probability, which did not land. Jamie Vardy put the hosts ahead in the 20th minute, but Fernando López González levelled before the break. Tawanda Chirewa's 72nd-minute goal secured the away victory. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Burnley v Wolves · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Mateus ManéWolves★ MOTM1 assist · 29 min7.7
  2. Josh LaurentBurnley90 min7.4
  3. Jacob Bruun LarsenBurnley1 assist · 61 min7.3
  4. Sean NeaveWolves1 assist · 72 min7.2
  5. Tawanda ChirewaWolves1 goal · 18 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurnleyWolvesEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
40.4%
Draw
28.0%
Wolves
31.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
43.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was Wolves win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Wolves, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Wolves, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 77 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Burnley, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Burnley and Wolves, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 48league matches at home unbeaten for Burnley.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Burnley scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Wolves scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Burnley have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Burnley vs Wolves?
    Wolves beat Burnley 2-1 in the EFL Championship at Turf Moor.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jamie Vardy opened the scoring in the 20th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jamie Vardy (20'), Fernando López González (39'), Tawanda Blessing Chirewa (72').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Lewis Smith officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Burnley vs Wolves kicked off on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time at Turf Moor.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Burnley play QPR on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Wolves play Bristol City on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.