This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Burnley 1-1 Derby result, stats and report
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- Burnley
- 42.1%
- Draw
- 26.4%
- Derby
- 31.4%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 52.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48.4%
Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | won |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | won |
| Over 2.5 goals | won |
| Over 3.5 goals | won |
| Full-time result | lost |
| Double chance | won |
| Correct score | won |
| Both teams to score in both halves | won |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Markets
Most Likely Correct Scores
More markets
On the double chance our model rates Burnley or draw at 49.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.
Double Chance
Half-Time Result
Half-Time / Full-Time
BTTS in Both Halves
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.