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Burnley vs Derby prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
19 Sept
Burnley 40%Draw 28%Derby 32%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

BurnleyDerbyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.3%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Burnley
40.3%
Draw
27.5%
Derby
32.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.6%
Over 2.5 goals
46.5%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
28%
32%
40.3%Burnley
27.5%Draw
32.2%Derby

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.5%No 53.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Derby or draw at 46.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.7%.

Double Chance

1X
44.5%
12
8.6%
X2
46.9%

Half-Time Result

Burnley
27.4%
Draw
42.6%
Derby
30.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Burnley
Draw
Derby
Burnley
20.4%
5.5%
2.3%
Draw
12.4%
17.7%
12.2%
Derby
2.8%
5.8%
20.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.7%
No
95.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.