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EFL Championship · MW8 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Stephen Martin
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burnley 1-1 Derby result, stats and report

Burnley
Burnley
Drew · xG 0.81
1 – 1
FT 03:55
Derby
Drew · xG 1.29
Derby
Match review
Next: Lincoln City v Burnley · Sat 24 Oct · Sheffield Utd v Derby · Sat 24 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Burnley vs Derby?

Burnley 1-1 Derby, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

BurnleyDerby

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 03:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Burnley 1–1 Derby

Zeki Amdouni's first-half header looked to have given Burnley a precious home win, but Mohammed Fuseini struck deep into stoppage time to earn Derby a share of the spoils at Turf Moor.

EFL ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Burnley and Derby drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
Z
34'⚽
Zeki Amdouni
LAssist: Lucas Pires
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley 0.81 xGDerby 1.29 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Burnley to win

42%Missed

Result

Burnley1:1Derby

Burnley v Derby

Our model leaned Burnley to win at 42%. Burnley 1-1 Derby. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Burnley host Derby at Turf Moor on 19 September at 14:00 UTC in the Championship. Burnley have lost all five recent matches, though both sides show strong both-teams-to-score form; Derby are unbeaten in their last five with BTTS hitting 100% in that run. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Burnley v Derby · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Joe WardDerby★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Anel Ahmedhodzic90 min7.8
  3. Lucas PiresBurnley1 assist · 89 min7.6
  4. Bobby ClarkDerby90 min7.5
  5. Alex James Mowatt66 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurnleyDerbyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Burnley win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
42.1%
Draw
26.4%
Derby
31.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.9%
Over 2.5 goals
48.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Burnley win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Burnley and Derby, landing 3 times across 5 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1/5recorded league meetings saw both teams score (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 47league matches at home unbeaten for Burnley.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burnley scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burnley have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Carlton Morris has the highest listed average xGOT for Derby at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Burnley vs Derby?
    Burnley and Derby drew 1-1 in the EFL Championship at Turf Moor.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Zeki Amdouni opened the scoring in the 34th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Zeki Amdouni (34'), Mohammed Fuseini (93').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Stephen Martin officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Burnley vs Derby kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Turf Moor.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Burnley play Lincoln City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Derby play Sheffield Utd on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.