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EFL Championship · MW5 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Burnley 1-2 Bristol City result, stats and report

Burnley
Lost · xG 0.34
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 0.95
Bristol City
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov · Bristol City v Wolves · Wed 4 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurnleyBristol CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bristol City win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
34.5%
Draw
29.4%
Bristol City
36.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.6%
Over 2.5 goals
40.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
29%
36%
34.5%Burnley
29.4%Draw
36.0%Bristol City

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.6%No 53.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

40%
Yes 40.1%No 59.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bristol City or draw at 46.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.9%.

Double Chance

1X
42.6%
12
11.2%
X2
46.2%

Half-Time Result

Burnley
27.6%
Draw
42.9%
Bristol City
29.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Burnley
Draw
Bristol City
Burnley
19.8%
5.1%
2.8%
Draw
12.2%
17.6%
13.4%
Bristol City
2.1%
6.0%
21.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.9%
No
97.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.