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La Liga 2 · MW7Ref: Abraham Domínguez Cervantes
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burgos 1-0 Eldense result, stats and report

Burgos
Won · xG 0.45
1 – 0
FT 04:35
Lost · xG 0.81
Eldense
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: FC Andorra v Burgos · Mon 26 Oct · Albacete v Eldense · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurgosEldenseLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Burgos win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BUR
47.2%
Draw
27.6%
ELD
25.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.1%
Over 2.5 goals
41.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Burgos win was the highest probability; the match result was Burgos win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
28%
25%
47.2%BUR
27.6%Draw
25.2%ELD

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.1%No 52.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 41.8%No 58.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BUR or draw at 51.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 50.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
51.1%
12
10.0%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

BUR
28.6%
Draw
50.3%
ELD
21.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BUR
Draw
ELD
BUR
22.6%
4.9%
1.7%
Draw
18.3%
19.5%
11.1%
ELD
2.6%
5.3%
14.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.