This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Burgos 1-0 Eldense result, stats and report
Who won Burgos vs Eldense?
Burgos 1-0 Eldense, full time in La Liga 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Burgos 1–0 Eldense
Burgos arrive at this La Liga 2 fixture on the back of three straight wins and will fancy their chances against an Eldense side that has shipped six goals in their last three matches.
Burgos beat Eldense 1-0 at home.
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Burgos to win
Result
1:0
BUR v ELD
📊 Match recap and data context
Burgos beat Eldense 1-0 in La Liga 2, with David González scoring in the 45th minute. Our model backed a Burgos win at 47 percent probability, and the pick landed. Burgos has taken two wins from five recent matches alongside a draw, while Eldense arrived winless in four games. The hosts kept a clean sheet despite Burgos posting 40 percent both-teams-to-score in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Burgos v Eldense · La Liga 2 ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Burgos win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- BUR
- 47.2%
- Draw
- 27.6%
- ELD
- 25.2%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 47.1%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41.8%
Full-time forecast audit: Burgos win was the highest probability; the match result was Burgos win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 0-0is the most common scoreline between Burgos and Eldense, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 1/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 32league matches at home unbeaten for Burgos.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Burgos scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Eldense scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Burgos have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Eldense have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Álex Forés has the highest listed average xGOT for Burgos at 0.83 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Guillermo Macho has the highest listed average xGOT for Eldense at 0.37 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Burgos vs Eldense?
BUR beat ELD 1-0 in the La Liga 2.Who scored the opening goal?
David González opened the scoring in the 45th minute.Who scored in the match?
David González (45').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 5 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Abraham Domínguez Cervantes officiated.When and where was the match played?
BUR vs ELD kicked off on Sunday, 27 September 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.When do they play next?
BUR play Burgos on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time. ELD play Albacete on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.