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La Liga 2 ยท MW5Ref: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Full time

Burgos 3-1 Ceuta result, stats and report

Burgos
Won ยท xG 0.76
3 โ€“ 1
FT 08:15
Lost ยท xG 0.88
Ceuta
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Las Palmas v Burgos ยท Sun 20 Sept ยท Ceuta v Real Valladolid ยท Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurgosCeutaLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Burgos win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BUR
57.1%
Draw
25.6%
CEU
17.2%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
43.5%
Over 2.5 goals
43.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Burgos win was the highest probability; the match result was Burgos win.

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
26%
17%
57.1%BUR
25.6%Draw
17.2%CEU

Both Teams to Score

43%
Yes 43.5%No 56.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 43.3%No 56.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BUR or draw at 59.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.8%.

Double Chance

1X
59.7%
12
10.2%
X2
30.1%

Half-Time Result

BUR
38.9%
Draw
43.6%
CEU
17.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BUR
Draw
CEU
BUR
31.4%
4.9%
1.5%
Draw
19.2%
17.6%
7.6%
CEU
3.1%
4.5%
10.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.