Premier League · MW1Sun, 23 Aug 2026 American Express Stadium, Falmer, East SussexRef: Peter Bankes

Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Brighton

Won · xG 3.23

4 – 0

Aston Villa

Lost · xG 0.35

Match review

Next: Hull City v Brighton · Sun 22 Nov · Aston Villa v Sunderland · Sat 21 Nov

How the model called it

2 of 3 right

Brighton50.3%Right

Draw23.4%

Aston Villa26.3%

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 57.4%, so the model leaned overRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 58.3%, so the model leaned yesWrong

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Over 2.5 goalsPublished 22 Aug, 04:30 · before kick-offWon

Logged at 1.84 · bookmaker not recorded

The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

Full table →

Brighton2nd8th → 2nd
Aston Villa10th4th → 10th

After 10 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Both teams to scoreLost

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Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

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Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Highlights

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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