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Premier League · Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 15:00 KO American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex

Brighton vs Arsenal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
19 Sept
Brighton 36%Draw 28%Arsenal 36%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

BrightonArsenalPremier League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.4%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Brighton
35.6%
Draw
28.0%
Arsenal
36.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.1%
Over 2.5 goals
52.9%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
28%
36%
35.6%Brighton
28.0%Draw
36.4%Arsenal

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.9%No 47.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Brighton or draw at 50.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
50.5%
12
6.8%
X2
42.7%

Half-Time Result

Brighton
31.4%
Draw
42.5%
Arsenal
26.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Brighton
Draw
Arsenal
Brighton
23.0%
5.8%
3.1%
Draw
14.2%
17.8%
10.3%
Arsenal
2.6%
5.6%
17.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.