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Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Borussia Dortmund winning 2, Werder Bremen winning 0 and 0 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Borussia Dortmund dominated for 90 minutes, led twice, and still could not win. Niclas Füllkrug's stoppage-time header made it 2-2 and Werder Bremen left with a point they barely deserved.
Borussia Dortmund dominated for 90 minutes, led twice, and still could not win. Niclas Füllkrug's stoppage-time header made it 2-2 and Werder Bremen left with a point they barely deserved.
BundesligaFri 9 Oct, 19:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2-2.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
D
80'⚽
Daniel Svensson
FAssist: Fábio Silva
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund 2.05 xGWerder Bremen 0.66 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Borussia Dortmund to win
65%Missed
Result
2:2
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen
Our model leaned Borussia Dortmund to win at 65%. Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Borussia Dortmund drew 2-2 with Werder Bremen at the BVB Stadion, missing our model's 65% pick for a home win. Dortmund scored twice in quick succession through Daniel Svensson in the 80th minute and Nico Schlotterbeck in the 85th, appearing to have secured the points. Werder Bremen pulled one back through Ludovit Reis in the 88th minute and held firm to claim a point. Both sides found the net, extending Bremen's recent pattern of high-scoring matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 65.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Borussia Dortmund
65.4%
Draw
20.3%
Werder Bremen
14.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%
Full-time forecast audit: Borussia Dortmund win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Werder Bremen, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 43 checked matches: 0% win, 87.5% draw, 12.5% loss.Verified final
For Werder Bremen, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Borussia Dortmund, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 43 checked matches: 12.5% win, 87.5% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Borussia Dortmund, the final recorded goal situation matched 20 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
1-2is the most common scoreline between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, landing 4 times across 23 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
17/23recorded league meetings saw both teams score (73.9%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
41league matches at home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Borussia Dortmund scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Werder Bremen scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Borussia Dortmund have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?