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Bundesliga · MW5 BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
1d 14h
Borussia Dortmund 65%Draw 20%Werder Bremen 14%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. The match is at BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 51% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Borussia Dortmund winning 2, Werder Bremen winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Borussia Dortmund has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
BTTS yes49.0%

Updated

Over 2.555.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, landing 4 times across 23 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 17/23recorded league meetings saw both teams score (73.9%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Werder Bremen scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Werder Bremen have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Luca Reggiani has the highest listed average xGOT for Borussia Dortmund at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Niclas Füllkrug has the highest listed average xGOT for Werder Bremen at 0.58 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.7
xG · 5/6
14
Goals
3.8
xGA
Last 6 matches
5.5
xG · 5/6
8
Goals
8.7
xGA
Last 6 matches
Borussia DortmundNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Borussia Dortmund recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.55
2W31.64
3W32.75
4W3Unavailable
5W21.12
6W22.62
Werder BremenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Werder Bremen recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.41
2D11.17
3W3Unavailable
4L10.25
5L00.68
6L00.95
Borussia Dortmund have taken more points than their chances were worth: 12 points against 8.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Borussia Dortmund generated 9.7 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 11, 1.3 above that chance total. Werder Bremen generated 5.5 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 5, 0.5 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Borussia Dortmund: 6 matches · Werder Bremen: 6
Recent team comparison. Borussia Dortmund sample 6; Werder Bremen sample 6.
MeasureBorussia DortmundWerder Bremen
Goals / game2.331.33
Conceded / game0.671.83
xG / game1.941.1
xG conceded / game0.761.74
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 5 and 5 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:30
1Kobel
2Couto
26Ryerson
24Svensson
3Anton
42Kabar
10Brandt
8Nmecha
6Özcan
9Guirassy
14Beier
Werder Bremen11 starters
30Backhaus
13Hein
23Schmidt
19Milosevic
Out / doubtful
❓ Ramy Bensebaini suspended · 🩹 Nico Schlotterbeck injury · 🩹 Emre Can injury · 🩹 Filippo Mane injury · 🩹 Justin Njinmah injury · 🩹 Salim Musah injury · 🩹 Felix Agu injury · 🩹 Keke Topp injury · 🩹 Senne Lynen injury · 🩹 Jens Stage injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

Our model backs Borussia Dortmund to win at home against Werder Bremen on October 9 at 18:30 UTC, assigning the pick a 65 percent probability. Dortmund have won three of their last five matches; Bremen arrive winless in their past five with two draws and three losses. Dortmund's recent head-to-head record against Bremen stands at two wins from two meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
    Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen takes place on Friday 9 October at 19:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga at BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund.
  • Who is the model backing in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 51% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen?
    In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 2, Werder Bremen won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 9 Oct, 19:30 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.