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UEFA Champions League · MW1 BVB Stadion Dortmund, DortmundRef: Simone Sozza
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal result, stats and report

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Won · xG 2.75
3 – 2
FT 18:36
Villarreal
Lost · xG 1.42
Villarreal
Match review
Next: Sabah v Borussia Dortmund · Tue 20 Oct · Liverpool v Villarreal · Tue 20 Oct
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Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?

Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

How it played out

Borussia Dortmund won it 3–2

Borussia DortmundVillarreal

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 18:36Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal

Serhou Guirassy scored twice in the final ten minutes, including a penalty, to give Borussia Dortmund a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League. It was a match that had everything: an own goal, yellow cards, late drama, and a Villarreal side that made Dortmund work every second.

UEFA Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Borussia Dortmund 2.75 to Villarreal 1.42 on expected goals.

First Goal
S
66'⚽
Santiago Mouriño
GAssist: Georges Mikautadze
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund 2.75 xGVillarreal 1.42 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Borussia Dortmund to win

55%Matched

Result

Borussia Dortmund3:2Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal

Our model called Borussia Dortmund to win at 55%. Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 at home in the Champions League, landing our model's 55% pick for a Dortmund win. The hosts controlled proceedings through a dominant spell in the first half, though Villarreal mounted a second-half comeback that made the closing stages tense. Dortmund's recent form, three wins in their last five, proved decisive. Both sides found the net in an entertaining encounter that reflected Dortmund's attacking threat and Villarreal's resilience. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund★ MOTM2 goals · 90 min8.2
  2. Tajon BuchananVillarreal75 min7.8
  3. Georges MikautadzeVillarreal1 assist · 90 min7.3
  4. Gregor KobelBorussia Dortmund90 min7.3
  5. Marcel SabitzerBorussia Dortmund75 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Borussia DortmundVillarrealUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Borussia Dortmund
55.2%
Draw
22.2%
Villarreal
22.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.6%
Over 2.5 goals
55.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Borussia Dortmund win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 4-0is the most common scoreline between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal, landing once across 1 league meeting on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 34league matches at home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6league matches away from home winless for Villarreal.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Villarreal scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Villarreal have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Serhou Guirassy has the highest listed average xGOT for Borussia Dortmund at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Santi Comesaña has the highest listed average xGOT for Villarreal at 0.47 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
    Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3-2 in the UEFA Champions League at BVB Stadion Dortmund.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Renato Veiga opened the scoring in the 53rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Renato Veiga (53', og), Santiago Mouriño (66'), Serhou Guirassy (80'), Serhou Guirassy (85'), Serhou Guirassy (93', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Simone Sozza officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time at BVB Stadion Dortmund.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    16 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Borussia Dortmund play Sabah on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time. Villarreal play Liverpool on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.