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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool vs Villarreal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
20 Oct
Liverpool 52%Draw 23%Villarreal 25%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Liverpool or Villarreal?

Liverpool vs Villarreal kicks off UK time in the UEFA Champions League. The match is at Anfield, Liverpool. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Liverpool has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw23.1%
BTTS yes58.6%

Updated

Over 2.559.2%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
7.0
xG for
10 +3.0
Goals
7.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
12.0
xG for
11 -1.0
Goals
8.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
LiverpoolNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Liverpool recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.53
2W31.25
3D01.37
4W21.46
5W20.59
6D20.79
VillarrealNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Villarreal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.90
2W33.48
3L11.69
4L21.42
5L21.61
6L00.93
Liverpool have taken more points than their chances were worth: 14 points against 8.2 expected. Villarreal have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 10.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Liverpool generated 7.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 3.0 above that chance total. Villarreal generated 12.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 1.0 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Liverpool: 6 matches · Villarreal: 6
Recent team comparison. Liverpool sample 6; Villarreal sample 6.
MeasureLiverpoolVillarreal
Goals / game1.671.83
Conceded / game0.671.83
xG / game1.172
xG conceded / game1.21.45
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Liverpool v Villarreal

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Liverpool11 starters
1Pécsi
1Alisson
5Konaté
6Kerkez
4Dijk
26Robertson
7Wirtz
8Szoboszlai
10Allister
9Isak
18Gakpo
Villarreal11 starters
25Tenas
12Veiga
4Marín
15Mouriño
18Gueye
14Comesaña
21Pino
11López
17Buchanan
20Moleiro
9Mikautadze
Out / doubtful
🩹 Federico Chiesa injury · 🩹 Joe Gomez injury · ❓ Wataru Endo suspended · 🩹 Hugo Ekitiké injury · 🩹 Alfonso Pedraza injury · 🩹 Sergi Cardona injury · 🩹 Juan Foyth injury · 🩹 Santi Comesaña injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Liverpool v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Liverpool vs Villarreal?
    Liverpool vs Villarreal takes place on Tuesday 20 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League at Anfield, Liverpool.
  • How can I watch Liverpool vs Villarreal?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Liverpool vs Villarreal free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Liverpool vs Villarreal are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 20 Oct, 20:00 BST

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.