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Bundesliga · MW1 BVB Stadion Dortmund, DortmundRef: Felix Zwayer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV result, stats and report

Borussia Dortmund
Won · xG 1.12
2 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.30
Hamburger SV
Next: Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · Fri 9 Oct · 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Borussia DortmundHamburger SVBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Borussia Dortmund
53.6%
Draw
22.6%
Hamburger SV
23.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.6%
Over 2.5 goals
58.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
23%
24%
53.6%Borussia Dortmund
22.6%Draw
23.8%Hamburger SV

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.9%No 41.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Borussia Dortmund or draw at 61.1%; the most likely half-time state is Borussia Dortmund leading at half-time at 39.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
61.1%
12
4.9%
X2
34.0%

Half-Time Result

Borussia Dortmund
39.5%
Draw
38.8%
Hamburger SV
21.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Borussia Dortmund
Draw
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
32.7%
4.5%
2.4%
Draw
17.0%
13.2%
8.5%
Hamburger SV
2.9%
5.1%
13.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.