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EFL Championship · MW9Ref: Thomas Kirk
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City result, stats and report

Bolton Wanderers
Lost · xG 3.34
1 – 2
FT 05:35
Won · xG 1.02
Stoke City
Next: Bolton Wanderers v Bristol City · Sat 31 Oct · Stoke City v Preston · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bolton WanderersStoke CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bolton Wanderers win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BOL
49.8%
Draw
24.8%
Stoke City
25.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Bolton Wanderers win was the highest probability; the match result was Stoke City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
25%
25%
49.8%BOL
24.8%Draw
25.3%Stoke City

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BOL or draw at 54.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.1%.

Double Chance

1X
54.9%
12
6.1%
X2
39.0%

Half-Time Result

BOL
37.7%
Draw
40.5%
Stoke City
21.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BOL
Draw
Stoke City
BOL
30.6%
5.5%
2.1%
Draw
16.7%
14.8%
9.0%
Stoke City
3.2%
5.5%
12.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.1%
No
91.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.