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EFL Championship · MW9Ref: Thomas Kirk
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City result, stats and report

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
Lost · xG 3.34
1 – 2
FT 05:35
Stoke City
Won · xG 1.02
Stoke City
Match review
Next: Bolton Wanderers v Bristol City · Sat 31 Oct · Stoke City v Preston · Sat 31 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?

Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Stoke City won it 2–1

BOLStoke City

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 04:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City

Stoke City came from behind to win 2-1 at Bolton Wanderers, with Theo Bair's stoppage-time header sealing the points after Maksym Taloverov's 20th-minute red card handed the visitors a man advantage they never let go.

EFL ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Stoke City won 2-1 away at Bolton Wanderers.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Stoke City won against the run of the chances: Bolton Wanderers 3.34 to Stoke City 1.02 on expected goals, which favoured Bolton Wanderers.

First Goal
L
45'⚽
Lamine Cissé
EAssist: Ethan Galbraith
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Bolton Wanderers 3.34 xGStoke City 1.02 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Bolton Wanderers to win

50%Missed

Result

Bolton Wanderers1:2Stoke City

BOL v Stoke City

Our model leaned Bolton Wanderers to win at 50%. Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

The match kicks off at 14:00 UTC on 10 October at Bolton's ground in the EFL Championship. Bolton have won one of their last five, while Stoke arrive in poor form with just one win in five matches; however, both teams have found the net in 80% of Stoke's recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Josh SheehanBOL★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Rúben RodriguesBOL63 min7.5
  3. Theo Bair1 goal · 8 min7.5
  4. Viktor Johansson90 min7.3
  5. Jayden Nelson34 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bolton WanderersStoke CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bolton Wanderers win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BOL
49.8%
Draw
24.8%
Stoke City
25.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Bolton Wanderers win was the highest probability; the match result was Stoke City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Stoke City, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 13 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Stoke City, the final recorded goal situation matched 17 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Bolton Wanderers, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 13 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Bolton Wanderers, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Bolton Wanderers and Stoke City, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Stoke City.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Bolton Wanderers scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Stoke City scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Bolton Wanderers have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Stoke City have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City?
    Stoke City beat BOL 2-1 in the EFL Championship.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lamine Cissé opened the scoring in the 49th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lamine Cissé (49'), Ben Wilmot (62'), Theo Bair (92').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Thomas Kirk officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    BOL vs Stoke City kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    BOL play Bolton Wanderers on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Stoke City play Preston on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.