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EFL Championship · MW12

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
23 Oct
BOL 36%Draw 25%Middlesbrough 39%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Bolton Wanderers or Middlesbrough?

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Middlesbrough has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
BOL35.9%
Draw25.1%
BTTS yes57.8%

Updated

Over 2.554.8%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
7.6
xG for
9▲ +1.4
Goals
11.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
10.3
xG for
10▼ -0.3
Goals
7.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
Bolton WanderersNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bolton Wanderers recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W41.04
2W10.54
3L21.73
4L00.99
5L21.24
6L02.03
MiddlesbroughNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Middlesbrough recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D22.39
2D21.73
3W42.10
4L01.07
5W12.07
6D10.93
Bolton Wanderers generated 7.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 1.4 above that chance total. Middlesbrough generated 10.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 0.3 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

BOL: 6 matches · Middlesbrough: 6
Recent team comparison. Bolton Wanderers sample 6; Middlesbrough sample 6.
MeasureBolton WanderersMiddlesbrough
Goals / game1.51.67
Conceded / game2.331.83
xG / game1.271.72
xG conceded / game1.851.28
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
BOL11 starters
1Bonham
6Johnston
14Osei-Tutu
25Conway
3Forino
8Sheehan
21Erhahon
16Morley
10Dalby
11Gale
45McAtee
Middlesbrough11 starters
2Brittain
12Ayling
29Malanda
5Jones
18Morris
8McGree
11Whittaker
10Burgzorg
9Conway
45Sarmiento
20Sène
Out / doubtful
No recorded injuries or doubts for either side.
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 10 Oct 2026, 00:40 BST

Bolton Must Find Their Backbone as Middlesbrough Arrive Unbeaten

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Bolton Wanderers have lost three of their last five Championship matches and are running out of time to sort their defence out. Middlesbrough roll into the University of Bolton Stadium without a defeat in five. This has the look of a problem.

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?
    Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough takes place on Friday 23 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the EFL Championship.
  • How can I watch Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 23 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.