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EFL Championship · MW7Ref: Thomas Parsons
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City result, stats and report

Bolton Wanderers
Won · xG 0.54
1 – 0
FT 05:45
Lost · xG 2.34
Cardiff City
Next: Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough · Fri 23 Oct · Cardiff City v Birmingham · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bolton WanderersCardiff CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bolton Wanderers win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BOL
42.1%
Draw
24.1%
CDF
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Bolton Wanderers win was the highest probability; the match result was Bolton Wanderers win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
24%
34%
42.1%BOL
24.1%Draw
33.8%CDF

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.3%No 39.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BOL or draw at 52.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.8%.

Double Chance

1X
52.7%
12
5.3%
X2
41.9%

Half-Time Result

BOL
35.7%
Draw
37.6%
CDF
26.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BOL
Draw
CDF
BOL
26.0%
5.1%
3.4%
Draw
13.4%
13.5%
10.6%
CDF
3.5%
5.3%
19.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.