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EFL Championship · MW7 Ewood Park, Blackburn, LancashireRef: Joshua Smith
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Blackburn 3-1 Millwall result, stats and report

Blackburn
Won · xG 1.14
3 – 1
FT 08:05
Lost · xG 2.00
Millwall
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Blackburn v Stoke City · Tue 3 Nov · Birmingham v Millwall · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BlackburnMillwallEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Millwall win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Blackburn
26.2%
Draw
28.4%
Millwall
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.9%
Over 2.5 goals
41.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Millwall win was the highest probability; the match result was Blackburn win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

26%
28%
45%
26.2%Blackburn
28.4%Draw
45.3%Millwall

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.9%No 53.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 41.6%No 58.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Millwall or draw at 50.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.8%.

Double Chance

1X
39.1%
12
10.2%
X2
50.8%

Half-Time Result

Blackburn
24.0%
Draw
46.0%
Millwall
30.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Blackburn
Draw
Millwall
Blackburn
15.1%
5.6%
2.9%
Draw
9.8%
18.8%
17.2%
Millwall
1.8%
5.7%
23.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.