This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Blackburn 3-1 Millwall result, stats and report
Who won Blackburn vs Millwall?
Blackburn 3-1 Millwall, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Blackburn won it.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Blackburn 3–1 Millwall
Blackburn host Millwall at Ewood Park on Saturday carrying a significant injury burden and a home record that already reads one defeat from one game. Millwall arrive unbeaten but untested, and the structural questions surrounding both sides make this a genuinely intriguing Championship fixture.
Blackburn beat Millwall 3-1 at home.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Blackburn won against the run of the chances: Blackburn 1.14 to Millwall 2.00 on expected goals, which favoured Millwall.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Millwall to win
Result
3:1
Blackburn v Millwall
📊 Match recap and data context
Blackburn beat Millwall 3-1 at Ewood Park in the EFL Championship. Our model backed Millwall at 45% probability; the pick missed. Blackburn's recent form had been mixed, posting one win in five, while Millwall arrived on the back of two wins from their last five. Both sides had shown a tendency to play open football, with BTTS occurring in 60% of their respective recent outings. The hosts' three-goal haul proved decisive. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Blackburn v Millwall · EFL Championship ·
More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Millwall win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- Blackburn
- 26.2%
- Draw
- 28.4%
- Millwall
- 45.3%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 46.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41.6%
Full-time forecast audit: Millwall win was the highest probability; the match result was Blackburn win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 0-0is the most common scoreline between Blackburn and Millwall, landing 2 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 8/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 8league matches at home unbeaten for Blackburn.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- 21league matches away from home unbeaten for Millwall.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Blackburn scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Millwall scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Blackburn have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Millwall have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
- Lyndon Dykes has the highest listed average xGOT for Millwall at 0.65 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Blackburn vs Millwall?
Blackburn beat Millwall 3-1 in the EFL Championship at Ewood Park.Who scored the opening goal?
Oladapo Afolayan opened the scoring in the 41st minute.Who scored in the match?
Oladapo Afolayan (41'), Lyndon Dykes (51'), Oladapo Afolayan (58'), Andri Gudjohnsen (93').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 8 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Joshua Smith officiated.How many corners were there in the match?
8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.