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EFL Championship · MW5 St Andrew's Stadium, BirminghamRef: Adam Herczeg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Birmingham 2-2 Wolves result, stats and report

Birmingham
Birmingham
Drew · xG 0.33
2 – 2
FT 06:35
Wolves
Drew · xG 1.36
Wolves
Match review
Next: Birmingham v QPR · Sat 17 Oct · Wolves v Portsmouth · Tue 20 Oct
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Who won Birmingham vs Wolves?

Birmingham 2-2 Wolves, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

BirminghamWolves

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 8 · 06:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Birmingham 2–2 Wolves

Birmingham and Wolves shared the spoils in a frantic Championship derby that produced four goals in the first half, with Wolves twice coming from behind to earn a 2-2 draw at St Andrew's.

EFL ChampionshipSun 6 Sept, 12:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Birmingham and Wolves drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
F
3'⚽
Fer López
RAssist: Rodrigo Gomes
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Birmingham 0.33 xGWolves 1.36 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Birmingham to win

43%Missed

Result

Birmingham2:2Wolves

Birmingham v Wolves

Our model leaned Birmingham to win at 43%. Birmingham 2-2 Wolves. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Birmingham and Wolves drew 2-2 at St Andrew's in a match that defied pre-match expectations. Our model favored Birmingham at 43% probability, a pick that did not land. Both sides found the net twice in an entertaining contest that aligned with Birmingham's recent form; the hosts had seen both teams score in four of their last five outings. Wolves arrived in strong form but failed to maintain their defensive record from recent weeks. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Birmingham v Wolves · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. José SáWolves★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Ladislav Krejci1 goal · 90 min7.6
  3. AndréWolves1 assist · 87 min7.4
  4. Nasser Djiga90 min7.2
  5. Phil NeumannBirmingham90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BirminghamWolvesEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Birmingham win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Birmingham
43.3%
Draw
27.8%
Wolves
28.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.7%
Over 2.5 goals
43.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Birmingham win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Birmingham and Wolves, landing 2 times across 7 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/7recorded league meetings saw both teams score (28.6%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 29league matches at home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Wolves scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Wolves have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Phil Neumann has the highest listed average xGOT for Birmingham at 0.58 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Raúl Jiménez has the highest listed average xGOT for Wolves at 0.92 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Birmingham vs Wolves?
    Birmingham and Wolves drew 2-2 in the EFL Championship at St Andrew's Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Fer López opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Fer López (3'), Jay Stansfield (22'), Ladislav Krejci (31'), Jackson Tchatchoua (36', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Adam Herczeg officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Birmingham vs Wolves kicked off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 UK time at St Andrew's Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Birmingham play QPR on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. Wolves play Portsmouth on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.