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Liga Portugal · MW8Ref: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Benfica 2-0 Vitória Guimarães result, stats and report

Benfica
Won · xG 2.09
2 – 0
FT 03:25
Lost · xG 0.65
Vitória Guimarães
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Benfica v Alverca · Mon 2 Nov · Gil Vicente v Vitória Guimarães · Mon 2 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BenficaVitória GuimarãesLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 76.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SLB
76.4%
Draw
15.8%
VDG
7.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
43.1%
Over 2.5 goals
58.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Benfica win was the highest probability; the match result was Benfica win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

76%
16%
76.4%SLB
15.8%Draw
7.7%VDG

Both Teams to Score

43%
Yes 43.1%No 56.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 75.6%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 60.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 21.5%.

Double Chance

1X
75.6%
12
5.6%
X2
18.8%

Half-Time Result

SLB
60.0%
Draw
30.7%
VDG
9.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SLB
Draw
VDG
SLB
53.3%
2.6%
1.1%
Draw
21.8%
7.9%
2.6%
VDG
3.1%
3.5%
4.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
21.5%
No
78.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.