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Liga Portugal · MW6Ref: João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente result, stats and report

Benfica
Won · xG 2.89
3 – 1
FT 10:55
Lost · xG 0.93
Gil Vicente
Next: Santa Clara v Benfica · Mon 26 Oct · Gil Vicente v Vitória Guimarães · Mon 2 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BenficaGil VicenteLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 70.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SLB
70.8%
Draw
20.2%
GIL
9.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
40.5%
Over 2.5 goals
50.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Benfica win was the highest probability; the match result was Benfica win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

71%
20%
70.8%SLB
20.2%Draw
9.0%GIL

Both Teams to Score

40%
Yes 40.5%No 59.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
7.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 71.6%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 56.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 16.5%.

Double Chance

1X
71.6%
12
7.8%
X2
20.6%

Half-Time Result

SLB
56.3%
Draw
32.7%
GIL
11.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SLB
Draw
GIL
SLB
52.4%
3.5%
0.8%
Draw
18.5%
10.4%
3.3%
GIL
3.0%
3.8%
4.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
16.5%
No
83.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.