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Liga Portugal · MW4Ref: Hélder Carvalho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Benfica 2-1 Estoril result, stats and report

Benfica
Won · xG 1.43
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.19
Estoril
Next: Benfica v Vitória Guimarães · Sun 11 Oct · Academico Viseu v Estoril · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BenficaEstorilLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 75.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SLB
75.8%
Draw
16.2%
ETR
8.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
42.9%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

76%
16%
75.8%SLB
16.2%Draw
8.1%ETR

Both Teams to Score

43%
Yes 42.9%No 57.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 77.0%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 62.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 22.1%.

Double Chance

1X
77.0%
12
5.4%
X2
17.6%

Half-Time Result

SLB
62.2%
Draw
29.0%
ETR
8.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SLB
Draw
ETR
SLB
57.3%
2.6%
0.9%
Draw
19.3%
7.9%
2.7%
ETR
3.3%
2.8%
3.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
22.1%
No
77.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.