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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Nikola Dabanović
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Benfica 4-1 Celtic result, stats and report

Benfica
Won · xG 2.79
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 2.03
Celtic
Next: Benfica v Alverca · Mon 2 Nov · Celtic v Beşiktaş · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BenficaCelticUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 58.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SLB
58.5%
Draw
19.6%
CEL
21.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.6%
Over 2.5 goals
66.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
20%
22%
58.5%SLB
19.6%Draw
21.9%CEL

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.6%No 38.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 66.8%No 33.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 60.3%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 45.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 17.2%.

Double Chance

1X
60.3%
12
3.2%
X2
36.6%

Half-Time Result

SLB
45.1%
Draw
32.3%
CEL
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SLB
Draw
CEL
SLB
40.4%
4.0%
1.8%
Draw
16.8%
9.4%
6.0%
CEL
3.8%
5.2%
12.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
17.2%
No
82.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.