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Bundesliga · Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 19:30 KO Fußball Arena München, München

Bayern München vs Union Berlin prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
18 Sept
Bayern München 72%Draw 18%Union Berlin 10%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Bayern MünchenUnion BerlinBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayern München win the highest 1X2 probability at 72.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Bayern München
72.1%
Draw
17.6%
Union Berlin
10.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
61.0%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

72%
18%
72.1%Bayern München
17.6%Draw
10.4%Union Berlin

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayern München or draw at 63.5%; the most likely half-time state is Bayern München leading at half-time at 51.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 22.9%.

Double Chance

1X
63.5%
12
5.5%
X2
31.0%

Half-Time Result

Bayern München
51.5%
Draw
33.2%
Union Berlin
15.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Bayern München
Draw
Union Berlin
Bayern München
46.8%
3.2%
1.7%
Draw
20.4%
9.1%
4.1%
Union Berlin
3.6%
4.7%
6.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
22.9%
No
77.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.