Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Bundesliga · MW2 BayArena, LeverkusenRef: Robin Braun
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin result, stats and report

Next: Lech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen · Thu 15 Oct · Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund · Sat 17 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bayer LeverkusenUnion BerlinBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bayer Leverkusen
55.3%
Draw
23.3%
Union Berlin
21.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.6%
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayer Leverkusen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
23%
21%
55.3%Bayer Leverkusen
23.3%Draw
21.5%Union Berlin

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.6%No 45.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.4%No 45.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayer Leverkusen or draw at 55.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.1%.

Double Chance

1X
55.7%
12
6.2%
X2
38.1%

Half-Time Result

Bayer Leverkusen
38.1%
Draw
39.9%
Union Berlin
22.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
34.0%
4.1%
2.3%
Draw
19.7%
12.1%
7.2%
Union Berlin
3.6%
5.4%
11.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.1%
No
88.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.