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Swiss Super League · MW7Ref: Désirée Grundbacher
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Basel 1-3 Lugano result, stats and report

Basel
Lost · xG 0.41
1 – 3
FT 11:25
Won · xG 1.10
Lugano
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Basel v Grasshopper · Sun 25 Oct · Thun v Lugano · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Basel vs Lugano?

Basel 1-3 Lugano, full time in the Swiss Super League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Lugano to win, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Lugano won it.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

LUG won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 7 · 11:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Basel 1–3 Lugano

Lugano arrive at Basel as the Swiss Super League's in-form side, unbeaten in their last ten across all contexts, while the hosts have conceded freely and lost three of their last five. Something has to give.

Key Takeaways
Result

Lugano won 3-1 away at Basel.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
47'⚽
Metinho
AAssist: Asane Sow
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Basel 0.41 xGLugano 1.10 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Lugano to win

47%Matched

Result

Basel1:3Lugano

BAS v LUG

Our model called Lugano to win at 47%. Basel 1-3 Lugano. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Basel fell to Lugano 1-3 in the Swiss Super League, confirming our model's pick of a Lugano win at 47 percent probability. The visitors controlled the match despite Basel's recent form showing two wins in five games. Lugano extended their streak of both teams scoring, which had occurred in all five of their recent outings. The result leaves Basel searching for consistency while Lugano moved closer to the top of the table. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Basel v Lugano · Swiss Super League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Yanis CimignaniLUG★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.9
  2. Uran BislimiLUG1 goal · 90 min7.8
  3. Renato SteffenLUG1 assist · 79 min7.4
  4. Elias PihlströmLUG1 assist · 11 min7.4
  5. Ahmed KendouciLUG1 goal · 11 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BAS
27.6%
Draw
25.1%
LUG
47.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.7%
Over 2.5 goals
54.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Lugano win was the highest probability; the match result was Lugano win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Basel and Lugano, landing 6 times across 41 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 25/41recorded league meetings saw both teams score (61.0%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 16league matches away from home unbeaten for Lugano.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Basel scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Lugano scored first in 9 of their last 10 league matches (90%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Basel have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Lugano have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Zan Celar has the highest listed average xGOT for Basel at 0.69 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Basel vs Lugano?
    LUG beat BAS 3-1 in the Swiss Super League.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Metinho opened the scoring in the 47th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Metinho (47'), Yanis Cimignani (59'), Uran Bislimi (61'), Ahmed Kendouci (81').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Désirée Grundbacher officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    BAS vs LUG kicked off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Lugano to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    BAS play Basel on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. LUG play Thun on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.