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UEFA Europa League · MW2 AFAS Stadion, AlkmaarRef: Radoslav Gidzhenov
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva result, stats and report

AZ Alkmaar
Won · xG 2.25
2 – 1
FT 03:35
Lost · xG 0.83
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Next: Sparta Rotterdam v AZ Alkmaar · Sun 22 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AZ AlkmaarHapoel Be'er ShevaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AZ Alkmaar
54.3%
Draw
22.4%
Hapoel Be'er Sh
23.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.3%

Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was AZ Alkmaar win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
22%
23%
54.3%AZ Alkmaar
22.4%Draw
23.3%Hapoel Be'er Sh

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.3%No 51.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.3%No 49.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 57.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.1%.

Double Chance

1X
57.3%
12
7.5%
X2
35.2%

Half-Time Result

AZ Alkmaar
37.3%
Draw
38.0%
Hapoel Be'er Sh
24.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Hapoel Be'er Sh
AZ Alkmaar
30.7%
4.8%
2.2%
Draw
16.4%
12.3%
9.4%
Hapoel Be'er Sh
3.3%
4.4%
16.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.1%
No
90.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.