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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
AZ Alkmaar edged a feisty Europa League contest 2-1 at home to Hapoel Be'er Sheva, with Peer Koopmeiners breaking the deadlock before a penalty wrapped up the points despite a spirited Be'er Sheva response.
AZ Alkmaar edged a feisty Europa League contest 2-1 at home to Hapoel Be'er Sheva, with Peer Koopmeiners breaking the deadlock before a penalty wrapped up the points despite a spirited Be'er Sheva response.
UEFA Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 17:45
Key Takeaways
Result
AZ Alkmaar beat Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2-1 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: AZ Alkmaar 2.25 to Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0.83 on expected goals.
First Goal
P
49'⚽
Peer Koopmeiners
VAssist: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ Alkmaar 2.25 xGHapoel Be'er Sheva 0.83 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
AZ Alkmaar to win
54%Matched
Result
2:1
AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sh
Our model called AZ Alkmaar to win at 54%. AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
AZ Alkmaar beat Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2-1 at home in the Europa League, landing our model's 54% pick for an AZ win. Koopmeiners opened the scoring in the 49th minute, but Forson levelled for the visitors five minutes later. Meerdink's penalty conversion in the 77th minute proved decisive. The result marked a rare bright spot for AZ, who had managed just one draw and one loss across their previous five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva · UEFA Europa League ·
The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
AZ Alkmaar
54.3%
Draw
22.4%
Hapoel Be'er Sh
23.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.3%
Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was AZ Alkmaar win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Hapoel Be'er Sheva, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 30 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For AZ Alkmaar, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 39 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Hapoel Be'er Sheva, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 4 comparable matches from 30 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For AZ Alkmaar, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 6 comparable matches from 39 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
18league matches at home unbeaten for AZ Alkmaar.Immutable lifecycle evidence
AZ Alkmaar scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Hapoel Be'er Sheva scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
AZ Alkmaar have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Ro-Zangelo Daal has the highest listed average xGOT for AZ Alkmaar at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?