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Eredivisie · MW4 AFAS Stadion, AlkmaarRef: Alex Bos
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AZ Alkmaar 5-2 GO Ahead Eagles result, stats and report

AZ Alkmaar
Won · xG 2.69
5 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 0.56
GO Ahead Eagles
Next: Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar · Sat 10 Oct · GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AZ AlkmaarGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AZ Alkmaar
62.5%
Draw
23.4%
GO Ahead Eagles
14.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.2%
Over 2.5 goals
49.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

62%
23%
14%
62.5%AZ Alkmaar
23.4%Draw
14.1%GO Ahead Eagles

Both Teams to Score

45%
Yes 45.2%No 54.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.8%No 50.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 62.6%; the most likely half-time state is AZ Alkmaar leading at half-time at 48.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.3%.

Double Chance

1X
62.6%
12
9.3%
X2
28.1%

Half-Time Result

AZ Alkmaar
48.9%
Draw
36.5%
GO Ahead Eagles
14.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
43.9%
4.1%
1.3%
Draw
18.1%
12.4%
5.2%
GO Ahead Eagles
3.6%
3.7%
7.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.3%
No
86.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.