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Serie B · MW6Ref: Juan Luca Sacchi
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Avellino 4-1 Sampdoria result, stats and report

Avellino
Won · xG 1.94
4 – 1
FT 07:25
Lost · xG 0.72
Sampdoria
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Benevento v Avellino · Sat 7 Nov · Carrarese v Sampdoria · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AvellinoSampdoriaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Avellino win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AVE
43.8%
Draw
28.7%
SAM
27.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.1%
Over 2.5 goals
42.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Avellino win was the highest probability; the match result was Avellino win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
29%
28%
43.8%AVE
28.7%Draw
27.5%SAM

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.1%No 51.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 42.2%No 57.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AVE or draw at 50.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.7%.

Double Chance

1X
50.5%
12
9.9%
X2
39.6%

Half-Time Result

AVE
31.2%
Draw
45.9%
SAM
22.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AVE
Draw
SAM
AVE
22.8%
5.2%
1.9%
Draw
16.0%
20.7%
10.6%
SAM
2.7%
5.6%
14.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.7%
No
95.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.