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Major League SoccerRef: Sergii Boiko
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Austin 1-1 SJ Earthquakes result, stats and report

Austin
Drew · xG 1.33
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.61
SJ Earthquakes
Next: Los Angeles FC v Austin · Thu 15 Oct · Real Salt Lake v SJ Earthquakes · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AustinSJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Austin win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ATX
41.4%
Draw
24.9%
SJE
33.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.9%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
25%
34%
41.4%ATX
24.9%Draw
33.7%SJE

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.9%No 40.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ATX or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
50.3%
12
5.3%
X2
44.4%

Half-Time Result

ATX
33.9%
Draw
38.0%
SJE
28.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ATX
Draw
SJE
ATX
24.4%
5.9%
3.7%
Draw
13.8%
13.7%
10.8%
SJE
3.0%
5.8%
18.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.