Kicks off in 4d 15hSunday, 17 May 2026

17:00Sunday, 17 May 2026Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano · Cap 70,460

ModelAtletico Madrid win · 57.4%vsValueAtletico Madrid win · @ 1.95 · coral · +6.1% edgeModel and value agreeView full prediction breakdown

What does this mean?

The model pick is the outcome the model rates most likely based on form, xG, injuries and head to head. The value pick is where the bookmakers' odds look too generous against that probability, so a bet there should return more over the long run.

When the two agree it's a strong signal. When they disagree, the model expects one team to win more often than the odds suggest, so backing the underdog at a long price can still be the better bet even if you don't expect them to win this single match.

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Atletico Madrid to win

Atletico Madrid vs Girona: match centre

About this match

Atletico Madrid face Girona at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano on Sunday, 17 May 2026. This match is part of the La Liga. You can check the recent head-to-head encounters, as well as the full H2H record on this page to see how Atletico Madrid and Girona have fared against each other in the past. On SportSignals, you can follow the Atletico Madrid vs Girona match with AI-powered predictions, full odds comparison, team lineups, and live updates.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+. begambleaware.org

Top player picks

Best probabilities from each family. Predictive model only — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Top anytime scorer

Nico González

Probability of scoring at least once

Above-the-line shots-on-target probability

Above-the-line shots-attempts probability

96%

Model

Half-time picksMore →

HT Goals under 3.51.03
HT Goals under 2.51.12
HT BTTS: No1.25

CornersMore →

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CardsMore →

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HT Result

Draw at HT

2.38

42% implied

best price
888

HT Goals

Over 0.5 goals (1st half)

1.30

77% implied

best price
UNI

HT BTTS

Both teams not to score (1st half)

1.25

80% implied

best price
WHILL

AI Prediction

Atletico Madrid to win57.4%

Atletico Madrid

57.4%

Draw

23.8%

Girona

18.9%

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Form Guide (Last 5)

Atletico Madrid

Girona

LWWLL

DLLLD

2-0-3Record (W-D-L)0-2-3

8Goals Scored5

7.0xG—

20%Clean Sheet %0%

60%BTTS %80%

Injuries and suspensions

Out Doubtful Suspended

Frequently Asked Questions

When is Atletico Madrid vs Girona?▼

Atletico Madrid vs Girona kicks off at 17:00 on Sunday, 17 May 2026 in the La Liga.

What are the best odds for Atletico Madrid vs Girona?▼

The best available odds are Atletico Madrid to win at 19/20, the draw at 14/5, Girona to win at 14/5. Odds are subject to change.

What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Girona?▼

Our AI model predicts Atletico Madrid to win with a 57.4% probability. This is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What league is Atletico Madrid vs Girona in?▼

This match is part of the La Liga in Spain.

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All predictions and analysis on this page are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds displayed are sourced from third-party bookmakers and are subject to change. SportSignals may receive commission from bookmaker links on this page.