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La Liga · MW15 San Mamés Barria, Bilbao

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Athletic Club or Real Madrid?

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at San Mamés Barria, Bilbao. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Athletic Club winning 0, Real Madrid winning 2 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Athletic Club v Real Madrid: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
12.9
xG for
13
Goals
5.5
xGA
Last 6 matches
14.5
xG for
20▲ +5.5
Goals
8.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Athletic ClubNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Athletic Club recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W23.24
2W64.06
3W40.64
4L12.38
5D00.75
6D01.80
Real MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W33.61
2W32.60
3W21.55
4W43.00
5W41.74
6W41.96
Real Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 18 points against 11.8 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Athletic Club generated 12.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 13, almost exactly in line with that chance total. Real Madrid generated 14.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 20, 5.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Athletic Club: 6 matches · Real Madrid: 6
Recent team comparison. Athletic Club sample 6; Real Madrid sample 6.
MeasureAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Goals / game2.173.33
Conceded / game0.831.33
xG / game2.152.42
xG conceded / game0.921.33
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Athletic Club v Real Madrid

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~23:00
Athletic Club11 starters
1Simón
17Berchiche
14Laporte
2Rincón
4Paredes
16Etxeberria
23Navarro
9Williams
21Sannadi
10Williams
7Berenguer
Real Madrid11 starters
1Courtois
24Huijsen
5Bellingham
8Valverde
15Güler
14Tchouaméni
49Diomande
7Juniordoubt
Out / doubtful
🩹 Thibaut Courtois injury · 🩹 Rodrygo injury · 🩹 Ferland Mendy injury · 🩹 Raúl Asencio injury · ❓ Vinicius Junior suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Athletic Club v Real Madrid · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Athletic Club vs Real Madrid?
    Athletic Club vs Real Madrid takes place on Sunday 6 December at 00:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at San Mamés Barria, Bilbao.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Real Madrid?
    In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 0, Real Madrid won 2, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Athletic Club vs Real Madrid?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Athletic Club vs Real Madrid free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Athletic Club vs Real Madrid are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 6 Dec, 00:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.