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La Liga · MW7 San Mamés Barria, BilbaoRef: Víctor García Verdura

Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
4h 26m
Athletic Club 52%Draw 26%Deportivo Alaves 22%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Athletic Club or Deportivo Alaves?

Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at San Mamés Barria, Bilbao. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53.8% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Athletic Club winning 1, Deportivo Alaves winning 1 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Athletic Club has the highest forecast probability · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
BTTS yes48.6%

Updated

Over 2.546.2%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Athletic Club and Deportivo Alaves, landing 4 times across 18 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 5/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (27.8%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 40league matches at home unbeaten for Athletic Club.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Athletic Club scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Deportivo Alaves scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Athletic Club have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Deportivo Alaves have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Unai Simón has the highest listed average xGOT for Athletic Club at 1.00 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Aitor Mañas has the highest listed average xGOT for Deportivo Alaves at 0.85 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
8.3
xG for
9 +0.7
Goals
7.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
7.1
xG for
11 +3.9
Goals
4.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Athletic ClubNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Athletic Club recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D12.17
2W31.21
3W22.04
4L00.33
5L11.58
6L21.00
Deportivo AlavesNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Deportivo Alaves recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.00
2L11.91
3W50.31
4W10.52
5D11.63
6W31.73
Athletic Club generated 8.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 0.7 above that chance total. Deportivo Alaves generated 7.1 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 3.9 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Athletic Club: 6 matches · Deportivo Alaves: 6
Recent team comparison. Athletic Club sample 6; Deportivo Alaves sample 6.
MeasureAthletic ClubDeportivo Alaves
Goals / game1.51.83
Conceded / game1.671
xG / game1.381.18
xG conceded / game1.30.77
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Athletic Club v Deportivo Alaves

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:15
Athletic Club11 starters
1Simón
14Laporte
12Areso
5Álvarez
17Berchiche
18García
8Sancet
16Galarreta
9Williams
25Izeta
10Williams
Deportivo Alaves11 starters
1Sivera
14Tenaglia
17Otto
27Muñoz
19Ibáñez
8Blanco
18Guridi
7Vicente
21Rebbach
15Boyé
11Martínez
Out / doubtful
No recorded injuries or doubts for either side.
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 31 Aug 2026, 09:30 BST

Athletic Club's Defensive Crisis Meets an Alaves Side Finding Its Feet: La Liga Matchday 3 Preview

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Athletic Club arrive at San Mamés having shipped eleven goals in five outings, while Deportivo Alaves carry genuine momentum and an xG return that suggests they are significantly better than their recent history. This is not a straightforward home banker.

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Athletic Club v Deportivo Alaves · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves?
    Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves takes place on Saturday 19 September at 15:15 (UK time) in the La Liga at San Mamés Barria, Bilbao.
  • Who is the model backing in Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 54% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Deportivo Alaves?
    In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, Deportivo Alaves won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alaves are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 19 Sept, 15:15 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.