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Serie A · MW4 Gewiss Stadium, BergamoRef: Alberto Arena
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari result, stats and report

Atalanta
Lost · xG 1.59
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.12
Cagliari
Next: AC Milan v Atalanta · Sun 18 Oct · Monza v Cagliari · Mon 19 Oct
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Who won Atalanta vs Cagliari?

Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Atalanta to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Cagliari won it.

How it played out

Cagliari won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 15:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari

Cagliari produced a controlled, dominant display to beat Atalanta 2-1 in Serie A, with Gianluca Scamacca's first-half equaliser and a second-half penalty miss from Daniel Maldini proving the turning point. Atalanta were second best for most of this match, and the numbers tell you exactly why.

Key Takeaways
Result

Cagliari won 2-1 away at Atalanta.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
P
19'⚽
Paul Mendy
MAssist: Michel Adopo
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta 1.59 xGCagliari 1.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Atalanta fell to Cagliari 2-1 at the Gewiss Stadium, a result that cost our model's 58% pick for a home win. The hosts had won just one of their last five matches while Cagliari arrived in stronger form with three wins in that span. Both sides found the net, continuing Atalanta's recent pattern of both-teams-scoring in every match over five games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Atalanta v Cagliari · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta★ MOTM1 goal · 68 min7.5
  2. Franck Kessié86 min7.5
  3. Jonathan Rowe90 min7.4
  4. Paul MendyCagliari1 goal · 79 min7.3
  5. Lazar SamardžićAtalanta76 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Atalanta win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Atalanta
57.8%
Draw
25.1%
Cagliari
17.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.7%
Over 2.5 goals
45.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Atalanta win was the highest probability; the match result was Cagliari win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Atalanta and Cagliari, landing 5 times across 21 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9/21recorded league meetings saw both teams score (42.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 20league matches at home unbeaten for Atalanta.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches away from home unbeaten for Cagliari.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Atalanta scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cagliari scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Atalanta have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cagliari have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nikola Krstović has the highest listed average xGOT for Atalanta at 0.45 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alieu Fadera has the highest listed average xGOT for Cagliari at 0.62 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
    Cagliari beat Atalanta 2-1 in the Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Paul Mendy opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Paul Mendy (19'), Gianluca Scamacca (41'), Daniel Maldini (61').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Alberto Arena officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Atalanta vs Cagliari kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at Gewiss Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Atalanta to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Atalanta play AC Milan on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time. Cagliari play Monza on Monday, 19 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.